
BORROWERS were advised yesterday to lock in to a fixed rate mortgage after comments from the European Central Bank were interpreted as signalling an end to the current cycle of rate cuts.
Economist Austin Hughes of KBC Bank said it was now likely eurozone rates would not go below their current level of 1pc even if the first hike in interest rates seems far away.
Comments from ECB president Jean-Claude Trichet yesterday indicated that central bankers believe the worst is over for Euorpean economies, but that the turnaround would be slow.
Mortgage
Mortgage adviser Karl Deeter of Irish Mortgage Brokers warned that some fixed rate mortgages have already started to rise.
In March, before the ECB dropped its main rate to 1pc, homeowners could get a five-year fixed rate of 3.6pc from AIB, but now that has crept up to 3.69pc.
"Profit margins are moving upwards while the ECB's base rate moved down. Already that means you'll pay just over €20 per month more on a €300,000 mortgage."
Mr Deeter said the danger of a return to inflation was evident. Any rise in inflation would spark the ECB to start pushing up rates.
Commodity prices, such as gold, copper and oil, were all rising. These were all signs that inflation is coming, Mr Deeter said.
Frank Conway of Irish Mortgae Brokers said the cycle of interest rate rises appears to have run its course.
Mr Conway said that with fixed rate so low, the argument for fixing has never been stronger.
"For consumers who have experienced savage wage cuts (in the private sector) as well as increased taxation by way of income and pension levies, fixed-rate mortgages can provide excellent insulation against rising mortgage repayments.
"They also become a great budgeting tool for homeowners who need to manage their day-to-day finances," Mr Conway said.
The Professional Insurance Brokers' Association (PIBA) said consumers should consider fixing, but not at any price.
Its chief executive Diarmuid Kelly said some short-term fixed rates may not be optimal if interest rates rise substantially within the next two years.
"PIBA would caution against such short-term fixed rates, as they may not represent value taking account of likely medium term economic realities.
"The kind of stimulus packages being injected into the US and belatedly European economies are likely to lead to increased inflation to which the natural economic response will be increased interest rates.
"For an extra payment of €96.14 per month on a loan of €190,000 a person can avail of a five-year fixed rate rather than a two-year fixed rate giving them security against upsurging interest rates after this deflationary period," he said.